MLB Best Prop Bets Today | June 18, 2025

Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated: Wed Jun 18, 2025, 19:44 PM
Read Time: 5 minutes

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MLB Best Prop Bets: Two power bats headline tonight’s card. One is having a historic season, the other owns elite splits against left-handed pitching. Aaron Judge and Heliot Ramos are both in prime spots to break out.
For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today’s slate, take a look at our MLB Picks Page or our MLB Odds Page, here. You can also browse our list of the best online sportsbooks.
Best MLB Prop Bets Today, June 18
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Last Month: 79-149 (-4.04u)
Last Week: 17-38 (-4.71u)
Angels vs. Yankees Best Prop Bet

Can Aaron Judge get the Yankees out of this slump?
Best Bet: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) odds via BetOnline
Some will say it is square. Some will say this is chalky. Those people are idiots.
Aaron Judge is my favorite look today and it is not even close. The Yankees have been struggling at the dish and I do not care. That changes tonight as Judge and the Bronx Bombers take on Angels starter Jack Kochanowicz. Some may remember him as the pitcher Cal Raleigh feasted on—where his total bases prop was -110 and his home run line was +210.
Colby, where are you going with this?
Raleigh is having a great year, but if he was getting that kind of respect, it is flat-out shocking that Judge’s numbers are nearly identical—especially in a season where the Yankees captain is playing at a historic level.
Numbers You Can’t Ignore
Kochanowicz owns a 5.85 ERA and .288 OBA on the road. Overall, he has a 5.53 ERA and 1.59 WHIP, allowing 5.78 hits and 1.3 extra-base hits per start. The 24-year-old carries the fourth-worst pitcher rating on the slate and ranks poorly in wOBA, ISO, strikeout rate, and ground ball rate, per Batters-Box. He does not have a single pitch above league average.
Judge’s numbers against Kochanowicz’s arsenal are filthy—in a good way. He holds a run value of 11 or greater against 66% of the pitches Kochanowicz throws. His average run value against all four is +8.5. Kochanowicz leans on a sinker 48% of the time. Judge is hitting .558 with an .837 SLG and .628 wOBA against sinkers this season.
Not to mention, in 100 elite-rated home games per Batters-Box, Judge clears his bases prop 58% of the time and hits a home run 34% of the time. Oh—and he has not gone over this prop since Friday. We are due for nothing in life, but Judge is definitely due for a big one.
Guardians vs. Giants Best Prop Bet

Can Heliot Ramos snap out of this cold streak this evening against Logan Allen?
Best Bet: Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) odds via BetOnline
The highest-rated hitter in this matchup is Giants outfielder Heliot Ramos—one of my favorite players to back. He owns elite trends and strong splits against left-handed pitching.
In 28 elite-rated games, Ramos records a hit 82% of the time, two hits 42% of the time, clears his total bases prop 57% of the time, and leaves the yard in 25% of them. He has recorded a hit in eight of his last ten elite ratings, going over this prop in seven of those ten.
Ramos feasts on left-handed pitching at home—since 2024, he owns a .341 average, .398 OBP, and 1.069 OPS. This season alone, he sports a .238 average, .918 OPS, and 140 wRC+.
Guardians lefty Logan Allen enters with a poorly rated average hitter matchup ISO. On the road, he carries a 4.36 ERA and a .289 OBA. Opponents overall are hitting .272 against him, with a .349 OBP and .762 OPS. Just 28% of his arsenal grades out above league average, per FanGraphs. Ramos profiles well against his full pitch mix.
After three straight games without a hit and five straight without going over this prop, Ramos feels due for a bounce-back.
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd and has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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